California's 13th District, encompassing parts of the Central Valley, has historically been a battleground with a slight Democratic tilt.

Rep. Gray won this seat by a mere 187 votes in 2024. Prop 50 redistricting has moved this district to a toss-up but it remains the most competitive race in the state.

Before his tenure in Congress, freshman Representative Adam Gray was a member of the California State Assembly, where he focused on water rights and agricultural issues—key concerns for his district. His bipartisan approach has earned him support across party lines, but he faces ongoing challenges in a district where rural and urban interests often collide.

• Partisan Lean: D+2 Lean Dem after Prop 50

• Key Issues: Water rights, agriculture

California’s 22nd District, covering parts of the San Joaquin Valley, has long been a political battleground.

Prop 50 redistricting has moved this to a toss-up district and its growing Latino and working-class population makes it a prime opportunity for a Democratic flip.

David Valadao, a long-time Republican incumbent, presents himself as a moderate but consistently votes in lockstep with the GOP’s extremist agenda. He has caved to MAGA pressure, voting to restrict reproductive rights, block climate action, and protect tax breaks for billionaires while slashing funding for Medicaid and Medicare. His support for Big Agriculture over small farmers and farmworkers has left local communities vulnerable to worsening drought conditions, low wages, and economic hardship.

A Democratic challenger in this district can capitalize on Valadao’s hypocrisy and failure to deliver for working families. By emphasizing policies that expand healthcare access, protect immigrant rights, and invest in sustainable water infrastructure, we can flip this seat and bring real leadership to CA-22.

• Partisan Lean: D+1 Now a toss-up after Prop 50

• Vulnerabilities: Votes with MAGA Republicans, weak on reproductive rights, favors corporate tax cuts over working families

• Key Democratic Priorities: Expanding healthcare, workers’ rights, immigration reform, water infrastructure

The 45th District, encompassing parts of Orange County, has evolved into a competitive region with a growing Asian American population.

Democrat Derek Tran, a veteran, attorney and community activist, won the seat in 2024. Tran's platform centers on healthcare accessibility, education reform, and small business support. As the first Vietnamese American to represent the district, he emphasizes diversity and inclusion, reflecting the community's changing demographics.

• Partisan Lean: D+3 Lean Dem after Prop 50

• Key Issues: Healthcare, education, small business support

California’s new 48th Congressional District, spanning parts of northern San Diego and southwestern Riverside Counties, has become one of the most competitive seats in the state.

Darrell Issa has spent decades in Congress advancing corporate interests and obstructing progress. A millionaire tech magnate turned career politician, Issa has consistently voted against reproductive freedom, climate action, and common-sense gun safety. He’s prioritized tax breaks for the wealthy over investments in affordable housing, clean energy, and healthcare.

A strong Democratic challenger focused on affordability, healthcare, and protecting fundamental freedoms can energize the growing base of young and independent voters and finally retire Darrell Issa for good.

• Partisan Lean: D+2 Now a toss-up after Prop 50

• Vulnerabilities: Anti-choice record, opposition to climate and gun reform, prioritizes corporate tax cuts

• Key Democratic Priorities: Affordable housing, healthcare, clean energy jobs, reproductive rights, protecting democracy